Rbse Solutions for Class 11 maths Chapter 14 Miscellaneous | Probability

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Get detailed, step-by-step solutions for the NCERT Class 11 Maths Chapter 14 Miscellaneous Exercise

Solve complex probability problems using combinations ($\binom{n}{k}$), permutations ($P(n, k)$), and the complement rule to find probabilities for drawing marbles, selecting cards, and lottery tickets (Q.1-4). Apply the Principle of Inclusion-Exclusion to solve derangement problems (Q.6). Use the Addition Rule and De Morgan’s Law to evaluate combined events (Q.7-8). Practice calculating probabilities for number formation with and without digit repetition (Q.9-10). Essential preparation for final exams and advanced statistics topics.

This exercise covers various probability scenarios, including combinations, complementary events, the addition theorem, and permutations.

image 392 Rbse Solutions for Class 11 maths Chapter 14 Miscellaneous | Probability
image 393 Rbse Solutions for Class 11 maths Chapter 14 Miscellaneous | Probability
image 391 Rbse Solutions for Class 11 maths Chapter 14 Miscellaneous | Probability

1. Drawing Marbles from a Box

Total Marbles: $10 \text{ Red} + 20 \text{ Blue} + 30 \text{ Green} = 60$.

Experiment: Drawing 5 marbles.

Total Possible Outcomes ($n(S)$): The number of ways to choose 5 marbles from 60.

$$n(S) = \binom{60}{5} = \frac{60 \times 59 \times 58 \times 57 \times 56}{5 \times 4 \times 3 \times 2 \times 1} = 5,461,512$$

  • (i) All will be blue ($E_1$): 5 marbles drawn are from the 20 blue marbles.$$n(E_1) = \binom{20}{5} = \frac{20 \times 19 \times 18 \times 17 \times 16}{5 \times 4 \times 3 \times 2 \times 1} = 15,504$$$$P(E_1) = \frac{n(E_1)}{n(S)} = \frac{15,504}{5,461,512} \approx \mathbf{0.00284}$$
  • (ii) At least one will be green ($E_2$): Use the complement rule. The complement $E_2’$ is “none of the 5 marbles are green.”Marbles that are not green = $10 \text{ Red} + 20 \text{ Blue} = 30$.$$n(E_2′) = \binom{30}{5} = \frac{30 \times 29 \times 28 \times 27 \times 26}{5 \times 4 \times 3 \times 2 \times 1} = 142,506$$$$P(E_2′) = \frac{142,506}{5,461,512} \approx 0.0261$$$$P(E_2) = 1 – P(E_2′) = 1 – 0.0261 \approx \mathbf{0.9739}$$

2. Drawing Cards

Experiment: Drawing 4 cards from 52.

Total Possible Outcomes ($n(S)$):

$$n(S) = \binom{52}{4} = \frac{52 \times 51 \times 50 \times 49}{4 \times 3 \times 2 \times 1} = 270,725$$

Event $E$: Obtaining 3 diamonds and 1 spade.

  • Number of diamonds: 13. Choose 3: $\binom{13}{3} = \frac{13 \times 12 \times 11}{3 \times 2 \times 1} = 286$.
  • Number of spades: 13. Choose 1: $\binom{13}{1} = 13$.$$n(E) = \binom{13}{3} \times \binom{13}{1} = 286 \times 13 = 3,718$$$$P(E) = \frac{n(E)}{n(S)} = \frac{3,718}{270,725} \approx \mathbf{0.0137}$$

3. Probability for a Custom Die

Sample Space ($S$): A die with faces $\{1, 1, 2, 2, 2, 3\}$. Total faces ($n(S)$): 6.

  • (i) $P(2)$: Number of faces with ‘2’ is 3.$$P(2) = \frac{3}{6} = \mathbf{\frac{1}{2}}$$
  • (ii) $P(1 \text{ or } 3)$: Number of faces with ‘1’ is 2. Number of faces with ‘3’ is 1.$$P(1 \text{ or } 3) = P(1) + P(3) = \frac{2}{6} + \frac{1}{6} = \frac{3}{6} = \mathbf{\frac{1}{2}}$$
  • (iii) $P(\text{not } 3)$: Use the complement rule: $P(\text{not } 3) = 1 – P(3)$.$$P(\text{not } 3) = 1 – \frac{1}{6} = \mathbf{\frac{5}{6}}$$(Or, $P(1 \text{ or } 2) = P(1) + P(2) = 2/6 + 3/6 = 5/6$).

4. Lottery Tickets

Total tickets: 10,000. Prizes awarded: 10.

Probability of winning a prize ($P(W)$): $10/10,000 = 1/1,000$.

Probability of not getting a prize ($P(W’)$): $1 – 1/1,000 = 9,990/10,000$.

The number of non-winning tickets is $10,000 – 10 = 9,990$.

  • (a) Buy one ticket:$$P(\text{not getting prize}) = \frac{\text{No. of non-winning tickets}}{\text{Total tickets}} = \frac{9,990}{10,000} = \mathbf{0.999}$$
  • (b) Buy two tickets:Total ways to choose 2 tickets: $\binom{10000}{2}$.Ways to choose 2 non-winning tickets: $\binom{9990}{2}$.$$P(\text{not getting prize}) = \frac{\binom{9990}{2}}{\binom{10000}{2}} = \frac{9990 \times 9989 / 2}{10000 \times 9999 / 2} = \frac{9990 \times 9989}{10000 \times 9999} \approx \mathbf{0.998}$$
  • (c) Buy 10 tickets:Total ways to choose 10 tickets: $\binom{10000}{10}$.Ways to choose 10 non-winning tickets: $\binom{9990}{10}$.$$P(\text{not getting prize}) = \frac{\binom{9990}{10}}{\binom{10000}{10}}$$$$P(\text{not getting prize}) = \frac{9990 \times 9989 \times \dots \times 9981}{10000 \times 9999 \times \dots \times 9991} \approx \mathbf{0.990}$$

5. Students in Two Sections

Total Students: 100. Sections: Section $A$ (40 students) and Section $B$ (60 students).

Experiment: Choosing 2 students (you and your friend) and assigning them to sections.

Total Possible Outcomes ($n(S)$): The total number of ways to divide 100 students into a group of 40 and a group of 60.

$$n(S) = \binom{100}{40} \times \binom{60}{60} = \binom{100}{40}$$

  • (a) You both enter the same section ($E_{same}$):This means either both are in $A$ or both are in $B$.
    • Case 1 (Both in A): Choose 2 from 40, and the remaining 38 from the other 98 students. The remaining $100-2=98$ students are divided into $38$ for $A$ and $60$ for $B$.$$n(E_{A}) = \binom{40}{2} \times \binom{60}{60} \text{ (Total ways to form the sections with 2 fixed spots in A)}$$Simpler approach (using the principle of combinations for the other 98 students):
      • Choose 2 spots in A for you and your friend: $\binom{40}{2}$.
      • The remaining $40-2=38$ spots in A must be filled by the remaining $100-2=98$ students.
      • The remaining $60$ spots in B are filled by the leftover $98-38=60$ students.$$n(E_A) = \binom{40}{2} \times \binom{60}{60}$$$$n(E_B) = \binom{60}{2} \times \binom{40}{40}$$Probability (Simpler combination approach):$$P(E_{A}) = \frac{\binom{40}{2}}{\binom{100}{2}} \text{ (Prob. that 2 chosen spots out of 100 are in A’s 40 spots)}$$$$P(E_{B}) = \frac{\binom{60}{2}}{\binom{100}{2}}$$$$P(E_{same}) = P(E_{A}) + P(E_{B}) = \frac{\binom{40}{2} + \binom{60}{2}}{\binom{100}{2}}$$$$P(E_{same}) = \frac{\frac{40 \times 39}{2} + \frac{60 \times 59}{2}}{\frac{100 \times 99}{2}} = \frac{40 \times 39 + 60 \times 59}{100 \times 99} = \frac{1560 + 3540}{9900} = \frac{5100}{9900} = \mathbf{\frac{17}{33}}$$
  • (b) You both enter different sections ($E_{diff}$):Use the complement rule: $P(E_{diff}) = 1 – P(E_{same})$.$$P(E_{diff}) = 1 – \frac{17}{33} = \mathbf{\frac{16}{33}}$$(Alternatively: You are in A (40/100) and friend is in B (60/99) OR You are in B (60/100) and friend is in A (40/99). $P(E_{diff}) = \frac{40}{100} \cdot \frac{60}{99} + \frac{60}{100} \cdot \frac{40}{99} = \frac{2400+2400}{9900} = \frac{4800}{9900} = \frac{16}{33}$)

6. Letters in Proper Envelopes

Experiment: 3 letters are randomly inserted into 3 addressed envelopes.

Total Possible Outcomes ($n(S)$): The number of ways to arrange 3 letters in 3 envelopes (Permutations of 3).

$$n(S) = 3! = 6$$

$S = \{L_1 E_1 L_2 E_2 L_3 E_3 \text{ (All correct)}, L_1 E_1 L_3 E_2 L_2 E_3, L_2 E_1 L_1 E_2 L_3 E_3, L_2 E_1 L_3 E_2 L_1 E_3, L_3 E_1 L_1 E_2 L_2 E_3, L_3 E_1 L_2 E_2 L_1 E_3 \text{ (All wrong)}\}$

Event $E$: At least one letter is in its proper envelope.

Let $A_i$ be the event that letter $i$ is in its proper envelope.

We need $P(A_1 \cup A_2 \cup A_3)$. Use the Principle of Inclusion-Exclusion for 3 events:

$$P(A_1 \cup A_2 \cup A_3) = \sum P(A_i) – \sum P(A_i \cap A_j) + P(A_1 \cap A_2 \cap A_3)$$

  • $P(A_i)$: Letter $i$ is correct. The other two can be arranged in $2!$ ways. $P(A_1) = \frac{2!}{3!} = 1/3$. $\sum P(A_i) = 3 \times (1/3) = 1$.
  • $P(A_i \cap A_j)$: Letters $i$ and $j$ are correct. The third must be correct. $P(A_1 \cap A_2) = \frac{1!}{3!} = 1/6$. $\sum P(A_i \cap A_j) = 3 \times (1/6) = 1/2$.
  • $P(A_1 \cap A_2 \cap A_3)$: All 3 are correct. $P(A_1 \cap A_2 \cap A_3) = \frac{0!}{3!} = 1/6$.

$$P(E) = 1 – \frac{1}{2} + \frac{1}{6} = \frac{6 – 3 + 1}{6} = \frac{4}{6} = \mathbf{\frac{2}{3}}$$


7. Addition Rule and De Morgan’s Law

Given: $P(A) = 0.54, P(B) = 0.69, P(A \cap B) = 0.35$.

  • (i) $P(A \cup B)$:$$P(A \cup B) = P(A) + P(B) – P(A \cap B)$$$$P(A \cup B) = 0.54 + 0.69 – 0.35 = 1.23 – 0.35 = \mathbf{0.88}$$
  • (ii) $P(A’ \cap B’)$: (Neither A nor B occurs)By De Morgan’s Law, $A’ \cap B’ = (A \cup B)’$.$$P(A’ \cap B’) = 1 – P(A \cup B) = 1 – 0.88 = \mathbf{0.12}$$
  • (iii) $P(A \cap B’)$: (A occurs but B does not)$$P(A \cap B’) = P(A) – P(A \cap B) = 0.54 – 0.35 = \mathbf{0.19}$$
  • (iv) $P(B \cap A’)$: (B occurs but A does not)$$P(B \cap A’) = P(B) – P(A \cap B) = 0.69 – 0.35 = \mathbf{0.34}$$

8. Spokesperson Selection

Total Persons ($n(S)$): 5.

Events: $M$ (Male), $O$ (Over 35 years).

S. No.NameSex (M)Age (O)
1.HarishM30
2.RohanM33
3.SheetalF46 (O)
4.AlisF28
5.SalimM41 (O)
  • $n(M)$ (Male): 3 (Harish, Rohan, Salim) $\implies P(M) = 3/5$.
  • $n(O)$ (Over 35): 2 (Sheetal, Salim) $\implies P(O) = 2/5$.
  • $n(M \cap O)$ (Male and Over 35): 1 (Salim) $\implies P(M \cap O) = 1/5$.

Event $E$: Spokesperson is either male or over 35 years ($P(M \cup O)$).

$$P(M \cup O) = P(M) + P(O) – P(M \cap O)$$

$$P(M \cup O) = \frac{3}{5} + \frac{2}{5} – \frac{1}{5} = \frac{4}{5}$$

The probability is $\mathbf{4/5}$ or $\mathbf{0.8}$.


9. 4-Digit Numbers Greater than 5,000

Digits available: $\{0, 1, 3, 5, 7\}$.

Condition 1: 4-digit number.

Condition 2: Greater than 5,000 $\implies$ The first digit must be 5 or 7.

Condition 3: Divisible by 5 $\implies$ The last digit must be 0 or 5.

  • (i) Repetition is allowed:Total Outcomes ($n(S)$):
    • Digit 1: $\{5, 7\}$ (2 choices)
    • Digit 2: $\{0, 1, 3, 5, 7\}$ (5 choices)
    • Digit 3: $\{0, 1, 3, 5, 7\}$ (5 choices)
    • Digit 4: $\{0, 1, 3, 5, 7\}$ (5 choices)$$n(S) = 2 \times 5 \times 5 \times 5 = 250$$Favorable Outcomes ($n(E)$ – Divisible by 5):
    • Digit 1: $\{5, 7\}$ (2 choices)
    • Digit 2: 5 choices
    • Digit 3: 5 choices
    • Digit 4: $\{0, 5\}$ (2 choices)$$n(E) = 2 \times 5 \times 5 \times 2 = 100$$$$P(E) = \frac{n(E)}{n(S)} = \frac{100}{250} = \mathbf{\frac{2}{5}}$$
  • (ii) Repetition is not allowed:Total Outcomes ($n(S)$):
    • Digit 1: $\{5, 7\}$ (2 choices)
    • Digit 2: 4 remaining choices
    • Digit 3: 3 remaining choices
    • Digit 4: 2 remaining choices$$n(S) = 2 \times 4 \times 3 \times 2 = 48$$Favorable Outcomes ($n(E)$ – Divisible by 5): (Must consider two cases based on the last digit)
    • Case A (Last digit is 0): $\_ \_ \_ 0$
      • Digit 4: $\{0\}$ (1 choice)
      • Digit 1: $\{5, 7\}$ (2 choices)
      • Digit 2: 3 remaining choices
      • Digit 3: 2 remaining choices$$n(E_A) = 2 \times 3 \times 2 \times 1 = 12$$
    • Case B (Last digit is 5): $\_ \_ \_ 5$
      • Digit 4: $\{5\}$ (1 choice)
      • Digit 1: $\{7\}$ (Since 5 is used) (1 choice)
      • Digit 2: 3 remaining choices
      • Digit 3: 2 remaining choices$$n(E_B) = 1 \times 3 \times 2 \times 1 = 6$$$$n(E) = 12 + 6 = 18$$$$P(E) = \frac{n(E)}{n(S)} = \frac{18}{48} = \mathbf{\frac{3}{8}}$$

10. Suitcase Lock

Lock: 4 wheels, digits 0-9. Sequence: 4 digits with no repeats.

Total Possible Outcomes ($n(S)$): The number of 4-digit sequences without repetition from 10 digits ($P(10, 4)$).

$$n(S) = P(10, 4) = 10 \times 9 \times 8 \times 7 = 5,040$$

Event $E$: Getting the right sequence. The right sequence is unique.

$$n(E) = 1$$

$$P(E) = \frac{1}{5,040}$$

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